Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.554929 2.677144 2.804779 2.948514 3.106485 3.275516 3.471003
2025-11-09 2.306172 2.471485 2.651681 2.864400 3.110969 3.390757 3.736711
2025-11-16 2.139908 2.331607 2.547373 2.811597 3.131368 3.512785 4.013595
2025-11-23 2.028699 2.240294 2.484815 2.793688 3.181896 3.666502 4.340558
2025-11-30 1.949508 2.177606 2.447258 2.797362 3.252825 3.846422 4.720769
2025-12-07 1.867627 2.104587 2.389710 2.768062 3.274300 3.958462 5.018417
2025-12-14 1.778330 2.016546 2.306834 2.698208 3.232922 3.975873 5.173927
2025-12-21 1.732307 1.978969 2.284121 2.703520 3.291478 4.137567 5.575697
2025-12-28 1.707332 1.965809 2.290773 2.746823 3.404719 4.390246 6.174736
2026-01-04 1.653083 1.912415 2.241676 2.709758 3.397300 4.454372 6.452031
2026-01-11 1.622795 1.888338 2.229589 2.722589 3.463476 4.641696 7.000938
2026-01-18 1.602075 1.875518 2.231388 2.754342 3.559874 4.889857 7.739284
2026-01-25 1.560703 1.836445 2.199187 2.740134 3.591652 5.046093 8.369929
2026-02-01 1.504717 1.776244 2.135867 2.677195 3.541318 5.050700 8.657047
2026-02-08 1.459290 1.728702 2.088203 2.635013 3.521765 5.111063 9.115948
2026-02-15 1.426131 1.696481 2.060456 2.621032 3.547725 5.262703 9.896011
2026-02-22 1.400944 1.674071 2.045361 2.625122 3.604349 5.484613 11.016855
2026-03-01 1.368399 1.640344 2.012543 2.599407 3.606036 5.592125 11.839575
2026-03-08 1.326943 1.593049 1.958442 2.537285 3.537640 5.538042 12.051064
2026-03-15 1.307393 1.575566 1.946842 2.542089 3.590900 5.763588 13.546065
2026-03-22 1.298528 1.572596 1.956115 2.580732 3.710152 6.166901 16.345791
2026-03-29 1.270456 1.541672 1.922855 2.547694 3.689781 6.226651 17.479097
2026-04-05 1.255772 1.529277 1.916680 2.559144 3.756778 6.523041 20.615148